Analysis of the impacts on natural ecosystems, human health and infrastructure

WP coordination: Env-in-Cent Ltd. (Tamas Pálvölgyi)

The primary aim of the analysis is to develop and apply a methodology, which provides scientifically credible information for the decision makers about the various impacts of climate change on regional and local levels. There are two main objectives of this WP:

  • prepare a high-resolution vulnerability and risk assessment of the impacts of climate change and
  • determine and map the critical components of the impacts where the possible adverse effects are the most severe.

In order to fulfill the objectives, various methods will be developed and integrated to reveal the spatial-dependent interrelationship between the climate and weather parameters (provided by WP2) and the impact processes.

The following impact areas will be considered: impacts on ecosystems (lowland and wetland damages, migration of invasive species, pests, insects), impacts on local air quality, impacts on infrastructure (damages to roads, rails, risks in air traffic, damages to settlements and buildings, risks in industrial infrastructure, impact on energy management: electric, gas and oil pipelines safety), impact on human health (mortality due to heat waves, increase of vector-borne diseases, migration of epidemic diseases, increase of allergic syndromes, UV induced skin cancers).

The work will be divided in two major parts. In the first phase the most suitable analytical tools will be selected (or developed) to find the relations between the interface outputs and parameters of the impact issues. During the second phase, the impacts will be quantified in the examined CLAVIER region.

Results of WP3d

Status of WP3d Tasks (internal)